Batang Air Changes - 237 Additions and 188 Deletions

In Batang Air, 237 voters were added and 188 deleted after GE12. Among them were 42 police postal voters, whose police IC numbers were reformatted, making them look like 42 deletions and additions. Most of the changes took place in DMs Ensawang, Jela, Kesit, and Lubok Antu.

Is there anything sinister in these data? Not on the 42+42 police IC number changes. The sizes of 194 additions and 145 deletions are probably acceptable at 2% over three quarters. Only field verification can tell more. Detailed lists of additions/deletions on a voter-by-voter basis are available for field verification.


Table A shows that, in Batang Air (N29 under P203 Lubok Antu), between 2007 Dec 31 (gazetted on 2008 Feb 5 for GE12) and 2008 Sep 30 (gazetted on 2009 Feb 19? for by-election):

• Overall, it looks like 237 voters were added and 188 deleted.
• In reality, 42 of these additions and deletions are "illusions." These are 42 police personnel who remained, only having their IC numbering changed,
• These are examples of actual pairs of changed police IC in Batang Air: G0008388>G8388; R0108200>RF108200; R0104156>RF104156; R0060733>RF60733
• Another 1 police voter actually retired/moved out, while another 1 actually moved in
  
• Non-police voter additions totaled 194 during the 3 quarters, and deletions totaled 145,
• The net change was 49 additional voters over 3 quarters, increasing the total voter count to 8,006.

Table A: P203N29 Batang Air Addition and Deletion of Voters 20080205-200902
Overview

Breakdown of changes 20080205-20090219	Deletions	Additions	Net changes
Voters with 12-digit Ics (incl absentees)	145	194	49
Police/military voter - change in IC number format	42	42	0
Police/military voter - real change in registration	1	1	0
Apparent changes in all voters	188	237	49
	20080205	20090219	Difference
Total voter count	7,957	8,006	49

Table B shows that:

• Excluding the police voters, 194 voters were added and 145 deleted, resulting in a net increase of 49 non-police voters.
• Most of the changes took place in the DMs of Ensawang, Jela, Kesit, Lubok Antu.

Table B: P203N29 Batang Air Addition and Deletion of Voters 20080205-200902
All voters with 12-Digit ICs - Excluding Police and Military Personnel

Does not exist in this electoral roll			20090200	20080205
Exists in this electoral roll			20080205	20090200
Meaning …			Deleted	Added
parl/DUN/DM	NamaDUN	NamaDM	Count	Count
2032901	Batang Air	Sebangki	8	9
2032902	Batang Air	Lubok Antu	14	10
2032903	Batang Air	Sekarok	6	9
2032904	Batang Air	Kesit	12	12
2032905	Batang Air	Engkari	3	1
2032906	Batang Air	Delok	4	5
2032907	Batang Air	Kaong	7	5
2032908	Batang Air	Empit	6	8
2032909	Batang Air	Kumpang	3	1
2032910	Batang Air	Klampu	8	5
2032911	Batang Air	Sayat	9	0
2032912	Batang Air	Kutai	15	6
2032913	Batang Air	Mepi	9	17
2032914	Batang Air	Jela	9	22
2032915	Batang Air	Sempang	3	3
2032916	Batang Air	Bertik	1	5
2032917	Batang Air	Krangan Mong	2	6
2032918	Batang Air	Ensawang	11	21
2032919	Batang Air	Kachong	1	7
2032920	Batang Air	Patoh	2	14
2032921	Batang Air	Bilararap	3	5
2032922	Batang Air	Sepaya	1	8
2032923	Batang Air	Gugu	6	14
2032924	Batang Air	Nenyang	2	1
Subtotal - non-police, 12-digit-IC voters			145	194

Table C shows:

• The added and deleted grouped by age group,
• Not surprisingly, most of the additions were in the 21-29 voter group,
• Most of the deletions were in the 60-79 voter groups.
  

P203N29 Batang Air Voters - 12-DIGIT-IC Only
Additions and Deletions in 200902 Roll by Age Groups - 12-DIGIT-IC

Age	Tahunlahir	Tahunlahir	Deleted in	Added in				Deleted	Added
Group	From	To	20090219?	20090219?	Net	Change %		% of total	% of total
21-29	1979	1987	4	131	127	3175.0%		2.8%	67.5%
30-39	1969	1978	12	32	20	166.7%		8.3%	16.5%
40-49	1959	1968	12	23	11	91.7%		8.3%	11.9%
50-59	1949	1958	13	6	(7)	-53.8%		9.0%	3.1%
60-69	1939	1948	31	1	(30)	-96.8%		21.4%	0.5%
70-79	1929	1938	42	1	(41)	-97.6%		29.0%	0.5%
80-89	1919	1928	25	-	(25)	-100.0%		17.2%	0.0%
90-99	1909	1918	4	-	(4)	-100.0%		2.8%	0.0%
100+	1884	1908	2	-	(2)	-100.0%		1.4%	0.0%
Total			145	194	49	33.8%		100.0%	100.0%

Related articles on voter changes, police IC number formats:

• 1001 Police IC Changes = 1001 Potential Confusions
• Were 900+ Voters Deleted and Replaced in Permatang Pauh?
• Supplementary Voter Lists 2008q1 and 2007q4
• Batang Air Changes - 237 Additions and 188 Deletions
• Bukit Selambau Changes - 553 additional and 390 deleted voters
  
• Bukit Gantang changes - 1048 Additions and 957 Deletions