2009-04-01

Bukit Selambau - Racial Breakdown by Saluran

Unfortunately, our countrymen and women still vote on racially based issues. Hence it is still important to analyze racial composition of voters. But only the government has all the detailed breakdown. Here is our attempt at balancing the information power, and to come up with an estimation voter ethnicity distribution down to the voting stream.

Our algorithm is based on the patterns in voter names:

  • Our algorithm is crude, but still ends up with reasonably accurate and useful results,
  • It currently cannot handle the Dayak name pattern (as in Batang Air). We will improve it later,
  • The "Other" minority ethnic names, such as Thai names, tend to be lumped into the "Chinese" category, inflating it by perhaps 1% where the "Other" is significant, such as 1% in Bukit Selambau,
  • We have compared the official ethnic breakdown (from UNDI.info) against this estimation, both using the older GE12 roll. The results are very close, with differentials from 0.1% for the Malay component to 1.5% for the Chinese components, at the DUN or parliament level.
  • Further, because any estimation bias is likely to be cumulative (not offsetting), a small error at DUN level would mean EVEN SMALLER errors at DM or Saluran level.

Although a practically useful estimation, this is still only a crude estimation.


Table: P014N25 Bukit Selambau Voters - 200902
Ethnic Breakdown - Estimation By a Crude Algorithm. Note postal voters include non-police, absentee voters.
parl/DUN /DMSa lu
ran
NamaDUNNamaDMTM Ma lay Chi nese In dian To tal
% Ma lay % Chi nese % In dian% Total
014/25/011Bukit SelambauKuala SinSK Kampung Kuala Sin Bukit Selambau 338 1 11 350
96.6%0.3%3.1%100%
014/25/012Bukit SelambauKuala SinSK Kampung Kuala Sin Bukit Selambau 469 2 10 481
97.5%0.4%2.1%100%
014/25/021Bukit SelambauKampung SungkapSK Bukit Selambau 489 16 95 600
81.5%2.7%15.8%100%
014/25/031Bukit SelambauBukit LembuSK Aman Jaya 175 25 350 550
31.8%4.6%63.6%100%
014/25/032Bukit SelambauBukit LembuSK Aman Jaya 222 14 437 673
33.0%2.1%64.9%100%
014/25/040Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruPos - 1 - 1
0.0%100.0%0.0%100%
014/25/041Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruSK Bandar Baru 149 76 125 350
42.6%21.7%35.7%100%
014/25/042Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruSK Bandar Baru 409 76 153 638
64.1%11.9%24.0%100%
014/25/043Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruSK Bandar Baru 395 70 173 638
61.9%11.0%27.1%100%
014/25/044Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruSK Bandar Baru 269 96 273 638
42.2%15.1%42.8%100%
014/25/045Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruSK Bandar Baru 257 87 294 638
40.3%13.6%46.1%100%
014/25/046Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruSK Bandar Baru 318 58 262 638
49.8%9.1%41.1%100%
014/25/047Bukit SelambauTaman Bandar BaruSK Bandar Baru 330 61 248 639
51.6%9.6%38.8%100%
014/25/050Bukit SelambauSungai LalangPos - - 1 1
0.0%0.0%100.0%100%
014/25/051Bukit SelambauSungai LalangSJKC Chung Hwa 63 219 68 350
18.0%62.6%19.4%100%
014/25/052Bukit SelambauSungai LalangSJKC Chung Hwa 106 306 133 545
19.5%56.2%24.4%100%
014/25/053Bukit SelambauSungai LalangSJKC Chung Hwa 139 258 148 545
25.5%47.3%27.2%100%
014/25/054Bukit SelambauSungai LalangSJKC Chung Hwa 148 230 168 546
27.1%42.1%30.8%100%
014/25/061Bukit SelambauTaman Desa AmanSK Sungai Lalang 286 75 89 450
63.6%16.7%19.8%100%
014/25/062Bukit SelambauTaman Desa AmanSK Sungai Lalang 526 46 112 684
76.9%6.7%16.4%100%
014/25/063Bukit SelambauTaman Desa AmanSK Sungai Lalang 385 103 196 684
56.3%15.1%28.7%100%
014/25/064Bukit SelambauTaman Desa AmanSK Sungai Lalang 431 61 204 696
61.9%8.8%29.3%100%
014/25/070Bukit SelambauBandar Laguna MerbokPos 1 - - 1
100.0%0.0%0.0%100%
014/25/071Bukit SelambauBandar Laguna MerbokSM Teknik Sungai Petani 2 55 59 236 350
15.7%16.9%67.4%100%
014/25/072Bukit SelambauBandar Laguna MerbokSM Teknik Sungai Petani 2 126 199 296 621
20.3%32.1%47.7%100%
014/25/080Bukit SelambauTasek ApongPos 1 - - 1
100.0%0.0%0.0%100%
014/25/081Bukit SelambauTasek ApongSK Tasek Apong 212 46 92 350
60.6%13.1%26.3%100%
014/25/082Bukit SelambauTasek ApongSK Tasek Apong 247 102 157 506
48.8%20.2%31.0%100%
014/25/083Bukit SelambauTasek ApongSK Tasek Apong 240 119 148 507
47.3%23.5%29.2%100%
014/25/091Bukit SelambauAir MenidehSJKT Saraswathy Sungai Petani 43 217 90 350
12.3%62.0%25.7%100%
014/25/092Bukit SelambauAir MenidehSJKT Saraswathy Sungai Petani 95 323 254 672
14.1%48.1%37.8%100%
014/25/093Bukit SelambauAir MenidehSJKT Saraswathy Sungai Petani 129 280 264 673
19.2%41.6%39.2%100%
014/25/100Bukit SelambauJalan BadlishahPos - 1 - 1
0.0%100.0%0.0%100%
014/25/101Bukit SelambauJalan BadlishahSMK Bandar Sungai Petani 91 147 112 350
26.0%42.0%32.0%100%
014/25/102Bukit SelambauJalan BadlishahSMK Bandar Sungai Petani 193 89 164 446
43.3%20.0%36.8%100%
014/25/111Bukit SelambauTaman PerudaInstitut Kemahiran Mara Sungai Petani 391 47 112 550
71.1%8.6%20.4%100%
014/25/112Bukit SelambauTaman PerudaInstitut Kemahiran Mara Sungai Petani 361 100 225 686
52.6%14.6%32.8%100%
014/25/113Bukit SelambauTaman PerudaInstitut Kemahiran Mara Sungai Petani 454 61 185 700
64.9%8.7%26.4%100%
014/25/121Bukit SelambauTaman Ria UtaraSK Taman Ria Sungai Petani 223 100 27 350
63.7%28.6%7.7%100%
014/25/122Bukit SelambauTaman Ria UtaraSK Taman Ria Sungai Petani 445 129 57 631
70.5%20.4%9.0%100%
014/25/123Bukit SelambauTaman Ria UtaraSK Taman Ria Sungai Petani 347 203 81 631
55.0%32.2%12.8%100%
014/25/124Bukit SelambauTaman Ria UtaraSK Taman Ria Sungai Petani 476 100 56 632
75.3%15.8%8.9%100%
014/25/131Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 105 164 81 350
30.0%46.9%23.1%100%
014/25/132Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 344 213 124 681
50.5%31.3%18.2%100%
014/25/133Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 376 176 129 681
55.2%25.8%18.9%100%
014/25/134Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 338 191 152 681
49.6%28.1%22.3%100%
014/25/135Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 292 222 167 681
42.9%32.6%24.5%100%
014/25/136Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 221 251 209 681
32.5%36.9%30.7%100%
014/25/137Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 236 202 243 681
34.7%29.7%35.7%100%
014/25/138Bukit SelambauTaman Ria JayaSMK Taman Ria Jaya 298 133 255 686
43.4%19.4%37.2%100%
014/25/141Bukit SelambauUnited PetaniSJKT Ladang Perbadanan Kedah Sungai Petani 70 12 268 350
20.0%3.4%76.6%100%
014/25/142Bukit SelambauUnited PetaniSJKT Ladang Perbadanan Kedah Sungai Petani 169 26 428 623
27.1%4.2%68.7%100%
014/25/151Bukit SelambauPetani ParaSK Petani Para Sungai Petani 93 14 252 359
25.9%3.9%70.2%100%
014/25/161Bukit SelambauBukit RusaSJKT Palanisamy Kumaran 154 35 478 667
23.1%5.3%71.7%100%
014/25/170Bukit SelambauPekan Bukit SelambauPos 7 1 2 10
70.0%10.0%20.0%100%
014/25/171Bukit SelambauPekan Bukit SelambauSJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau 215 102 33 350
61.4%29.1%9.4%100%
014/25/172Bukit SelambauPekan Bukit SelambauSJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau 361 142 42 545
66.2%26.1%7.7%100%
014/25/173Bukit SelambauPekan Bukit SelambauSJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau 374 130 41 545
68.6%23.9%7.5%100%
014/25/174Bukit SelambauPekan Bukit SelambauSJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau 385 75 86 546
70.5%13.7%15.8%100%
014/25/181Bukit SelambauKampung Pokok MachangSMK Bukit Selambau 619 16 61 696
88.9%2.3%8.8%100%
014/25/191Bukit SelambauBatu BelachanSK Seri Wangsa Sungai Petani 206 11 133 350
58.9%3.1%38.0%100%
014/25/192Bukit SelambauBatu BelachanSK Seri Wangsa Sungai Petani 267 10 158 435
61.4%2.3%36.3%100%
014/25/201Bukit SelambauTiti PanjangSK Dataran Muda Sungai Petani 290 43 117 450
64.4%9.6%26.0%100%
014/25/202Bukit SelambauTiti PanjangSK Dataran Muda Sungai Petani 514 12 82 608
84.5%2.0%13.5%100%
014/25/211Bukit SelambauAmbangan HeightSMK Aman Jaya 407 95 145 647
62.9%14.7%22.4%100%
014/25/221Bukit SelambauTaman Ria SelatanSM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa 166 153 31 350
47.4%43.7%8.9%100%
014/25/222Bukit SelambauTaman Ria SelatanSM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa 344 156 36 536
64.2%29.1%6.7%100%
014/25/223Bukit SelambauTaman Ria SelatanSM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa 263 210 63 536
49.1%39.2%11.8%100%
014/25/224Bukit SelambauTaman Ria SelatanSM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa 229 242 65 536
42.7%45.2%12.1%100%
014/25/225Bukit SelambauTaman Ria SelatanSM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa 321 131 84 536
59.9%24.4%15.7%100%
Total



17,698 7,371 10,071 35,140
50.4%21.0%28.7%100%

Note 1: If you cannot see the full table width, try to click Menu>View>zoom out (or Ctrl-Middle-Mouse-Button-Scroll). Alternatively, click-drag to highlight the table, copy, and paste into Excel to view.

Note 2: SM = Sekolah Menengah, SK=Sekolah Kebangsaan, SMK=Sekolah Menengah Kebangsaan, SJKC = Sekolah Jenis Kebangsaan (China), SJKT = Sekolah Jenis Kebangsaan (Tamil), SAR = Sekolah Agama Rakyat.

No comments: