Unfortunately, our countrymen and women still vote on racially based issues. Hence it is still important to analyze racial composition of voters. But only the government has all the detailed breakdown. Here is our attempt at balancing the information power, and to come up with an estimation voter ethnicity distribution down to the voting stream.
Our algorithm is based on the patterns in voter names:
- Our algorithm is crude, but still ends up with reasonably accurate and useful results,
- It currently cannot handle the Dayak name pattern (as in Batang Air). We will improve it later,
- The "Other" minority ethnic names, such as Thai names, tend to be lumped into the "Chinese" category, inflating it by perhaps 1% where the "Other" is significant, such as 1% in Bukit Selambau,
- We have compared the official ethnic breakdown (from UNDI.info) against this estimation, both using the older GE12 roll. The results are very close, with differentials from 0.1% for the Malay component to 1.5% for the Chinese components, at the DUN or parliament level.
- Further, because any estimation bias is likely to be cumulative (not offsetting), a small error at DUN level would mean EVEN SMALLER errors at DM or Saluran level.
Although a practically useful estimation, this is still only a crude estimation.
Table: P014N25 Bukit Selambau Voters - 200902
Ethnic Breakdown - Estimation By a Crude Algorithm. Note postal voters include non-police, absentee voters.
parl/DUN /DM | Sa lu ran | NamaDUN | NamaDM | TM | Ma lay | Chi nese | In dian | To tal | % Ma lay | % Chi nese | % In dian | % Total | |
014/25/01 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Kuala Sin | SK Kampung Kuala Sin Bukit Selambau | 338 | 1 | 11 | 350 | 96.6% | 0.3% | 3.1% | 100% | |
014/25/01 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Kuala Sin | SK Kampung Kuala Sin Bukit Selambau | 469 | 2 | 10 | 481 | 97.5% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 100% | |
014/25/02 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Kampung Sungkap | SK Bukit Selambau | 489 | 16 | 95 | 600 | 81.5% | 2.7% | 15.8% | 100% | |
014/25/03 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Bukit Lembu | SK Aman Jaya | 175 | 25 | 350 | 550 | 31.8% | 4.6% | 63.6% | 100% | |
014/25/03 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Bukit Lembu | SK Aman Jaya | 222 | 14 | 437 | 673 | 33.0% | 2.1% | 64.9% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 0 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | Pos | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | SK Bandar Baru | 149 | 76 | 125 | 350 | 42.6% | 21.7% | 35.7% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | SK Bandar Baru | 409 | 76 | 153 | 638 | 64.1% | 11.9% | 24.0% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | SK Bandar Baru | 395 | 70 | 173 | 638 | 61.9% | 11.0% | 27.1% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 4 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | SK Bandar Baru | 269 | 96 | 273 | 638 | 42.2% | 15.1% | 42.8% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 5 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | SK Bandar Baru | 257 | 87 | 294 | 638 | 40.3% | 13.6% | 46.1% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 6 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | SK Bandar Baru | 318 | 58 | 262 | 638 | 49.8% | 9.1% | 41.1% | 100% | |
014/25/04 | 7 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Bandar Baru | SK Bandar Baru | 330 | 61 | 248 | 639 | 51.6% | 9.6% | 38.8% | 100% | |
014/25/05 | 0 | Bukit Selambau | Sungai Lalang | Pos | - | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100% | |
014/25/05 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Sungai Lalang | SJKC Chung Hwa | 63 | 219 | 68 | 350 | 18.0% | 62.6% | 19.4% | 100% | |
014/25/05 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Sungai Lalang | SJKC Chung Hwa | 106 | 306 | 133 | 545 | 19.5% | 56.2% | 24.4% | 100% | |
014/25/05 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Sungai Lalang | SJKC Chung Hwa | 139 | 258 | 148 | 545 | 25.5% | 47.3% | 27.2% | 100% | |
014/25/05 | 4 | Bukit Selambau | Sungai Lalang | SJKC Chung Hwa | 148 | 230 | 168 | 546 | 27.1% | 42.1% | 30.8% | 100% | |
014/25/06 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Desa Aman | SK Sungai Lalang | 286 | 75 | 89 | 450 | 63.6% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 100% | |
014/25/06 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Desa Aman | SK Sungai Lalang | 526 | 46 | 112 | 684 | 76.9% | 6.7% | 16.4% | 100% | |
014/25/06 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Desa Aman | SK Sungai Lalang | 385 | 103 | 196 | 684 | 56.3% | 15.1% | 28.7% | 100% | |
014/25/06 | 4 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Desa Aman | SK Sungai Lalang | 431 | 61 | 204 | 696 | 61.9% | 8.8% | 29.3% | 100% | |
014/25/07 | 0 | Bukit Selambau | Bandar Laguna Merbok | Pos | 1 | - | - | 1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100% | |
014/25/07 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Bandar Laguna Merbok | SM Teknik Sungai Petani 2 | 55 | 59 | 236 | 350 | 15.7% | 16.9% | 67.4% | 100% | |
014/25/07 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Bandar Laguna Merbok | SM Teknik Sungai Petani 2 | 126 | 199 | 296 | 621 | 20.3% | 32.1% | 47.7% | 100% | |
014/25/08 | 0 | Bukit Selambau | Tasek Apong | Pos | 1 | - | - | 1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100% | |
014/25/08 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Tasek Apong | SK Tasek Apong | 212 | 46 | 92 | 350 | 60.6% | 13.1% | 26.3% | 100% | |
014/25/08 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Tasek Apong | SK Tasek Apong | 247 | 102 | 157 | 506 | 48.8% | 20.2% | 31.0% | 100% | |
014/25/08 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Tasek Apong | SK Tasek Apong | 240 | 119 | 148 | 507 | 47.3% | 23.5% | 29.2% | 100% | |
014/25/09 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Air Menideh | SJKT Saraswathy Sungai Petani | 43 | 217 | 90 | 350 | 12.3% | 62.0% | 25.7% | 100% | |
014/25/09 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Air Menideh | SJKT Saraswathy Sungai Petani | 95 | 323 | 254 | 672 | 14.1% | 48.1% | 37.8% | 100% | |
014/25/09 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Air Menideh | SJKT Saraswathy Sungai Petani | 129 | 280 | 264 | 673 | 19.2% | 41.6% | 39.2% | 100% | |
014/25/10 | 0 | Bukit Selambau | Jalan Badlishah | Pos | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100% | |
014/25/10 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Jalan Badlishah | SMK Bandar Sungai Petani | 91 | 147 | 112 | 350 | 26.0% | 42.0% | 32.0% | 100% | |
014/25/10 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Jalan Badlishah | SMK Bandar Sungai Petani | 193 | 89 | 164 | 446 | 43.3% | 20.0% | 36.8% | 100% | |
014/25/11 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Peruda | Institut Kemahiran Mara Sungai Petani | 391 | 47 | 112 | 550 | 71.1% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 100% | |
014/25/11 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Peruda | Institut Kemahiran Mara Sungai Petani | 361 | 100 | 225 | 686 | 52.6% | 14.6% | 32.8% | 100% | |
014/25/11 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Peruda | Institut Kemahiran Mara Sungai Petani | 454 | 61 | 185 | 700 | 64.9% | 8.7% | 26.4% | 100% | |
014/25/12 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Utara | SK Taman Ria Sungai Petani | 223 | 100 | 27 | 350 | 63.7% | 28.6% | 7.7% | 100% | |
014/25/12 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Utara | SK Taman Ria Sungai Petani | 445 | 129 | 57 | 631 | 70.5% | 20.4% | 9.0% | 100% | |
014/25/12 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Utara | SK Taman Ria Sungai Petani | 347 | 203 | 81 | 631 | 55.0% | 32.2% | 12.8% | 100% | |
014/25/12 | 4 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Utara | SK Taman Ria Sungai Petani | 476 | 100 | 56 | 632 | 75.3% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 105 | 164 | 81 | 350 | 30.0% | 46.9% | 23.1% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 344 | 213 | 124 | 681 | 50.5% | 31.3% | 18.2% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 376 | 176 | 129 | 681 | 55.2% | 25.8% | 18.9% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 4 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 338 | 191 | 152 | 681 | 49.6% | 28.1% | 22.3% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 5 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 292 | 222 | 167 | 681 | 42.9% | 32.6% | 24.5% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 6 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 221 | 251 | 209 | 681 | 32.5% | 36.9% | 30.7% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 7 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 236 | 202 | 243 | 681 | 34.7% | 29.7% | 35.7% | 100% | |
014/25/13 | 8 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Jaya | SMK Taman Ria Jaya | 298 | 133 | 255 | 686 | 43.4% | 19.4% | 37.2% | 100% | |
014/25/14 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | United Petani | SJKT Ladang Perbadanan Kedah Sungai Petani | 70 | 12 | 268 | 350 | 20.0% | 3.4% | 76.6% | 100% | |
014/25/14 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | United Petani | SJKT Ladang Perbadanan Kedah Sungai Petani | 169 | 26 | 428 | 623 | 27.1% | 4.2% | 68.7% | 100% | |
014/25/15 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Petani Para | SK Petani Para Sungai Petani | 93 | 14 | 252 | 359 | 25.9% | 3.9% | 70.2% | 100% | |
014/25/16 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Bukit Rusa | SJKT Palanisamy Kumaran | 154 | 35 | 478 | 667 | 23.1% | 5.3% | 71.7% | 100% | |
014/25/17 | 0 | Bukit Selambau | Pekan Bukit Selambau | Pos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 70.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 100% | |
014/25/17 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Pekan Bukit Selambau | SJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau | 215 | 102 | 33 | 350 | 61.4% | 29.1% | 9.4% | 100% | |
014/25/17 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Pekan Bukit Selambau | SJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau | 361 | 142 | 42 | 545 | 66.2% | 26.1% | 7.7% | 100% | |
014/25/17 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Pekan Bukit Selambau | SJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau | 374 | 130 | 41 | 545 | 68.6% | 23.9% | 7.5% | 100% | |
014/25/17 | 4 | Bukit Selambau | Pekan Bukit Selambau | SJKC Fuh Sun Bukit Selambau | 385 | 75 | 86 | 546 | 70.5% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 100% | |
014/25/18 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Kampung Pokok Machang | SMK Bukit Selambau | 619 | 16 | 61 | 696 | 88.9% | 2.3% | 8.8% | 100% | |
014/25/19 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Batu Belachan | SK Seri Wangsa Sungai Petani | 206 | 11 | 133 | 350 | 58.9% | 3.1% | 38.0% | 100% | |
014/25/19 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Batu Belachan | SK Seri Wangsa Sungai Petani | 267 | 10 | 158 | 435 | 61.4% | 2.3% | 36.3% | 100% | |
014/25/20 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Titi Panjang | SK Dataran Muda Sungai Petani | 290 | 43 | 117 | 450 | 64.4% | 9.6% | 26.0% | 100% | |
014/25/20 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Titi Panjang | SK Dataran Muda Sungai Petani | 514 | 12 | 82 | 608 | 84.5% | 2.0% | 13.5% | 100% | |
014/25/21 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Ambangan Height | SMK Aman Jaya | 407 | 95 | 145 | 647 | 62.9% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 100% | |
014/25/22 | 1 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Selatan | SM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa | 166 | 153 | 31 | 350 | 47.4% | 43.7% | 8.9% | 100% | |
014/25/22 | 2 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Selatan | SM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa | 344 | 156 | 36 | 536 | 64.2% | 29.1% | 6.7% | 100% | |
014/25/22 | 3 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Selatan | SM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa | 263 | 210 | 63 | 536 | 49.1% | 39.2% | 11.8% | 100% | |
014/25/22 | 4 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Selatan | SM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa | 229 | 242 | 65 | 536 | 42.7% | 45.2% | 12.1% | 100% | |
014/25/22 | 5 | Bukit Selambau | Taman Ria Selatan | SM Sains Sultan Mohamad Jiwa | 321 | 131 | 84 | 536 | 59.9% | 24.4% | 15.7% | 100% | |
Total | 17,698 | 7,371 | 10,071 | 35,140 | 50.4% | 21.0% | 28.7% | 100% |
Note 1: If you cannot see the full table width, try to click Menu>View>zoom out (or Ctrl-Middle-Mouse-Button-Scroll). Alternatively, click-drag to highlight the table, copy, and paste into Excel to view.
Note 2: SM = Sekolah Menengah, SK=Sekolah Kebangsaan, SMK=Sekolah Menengah Kebangsaan, SJKC = Sekolah Jenis Kebangsaan (China), SJKT = Sekolah Jenis Kebangsaan (Tamil), SAR = Sekolah Agama Rakyat.
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