2008-05-04

Dead Voters Society Membership Reduced

Thousands of dead voters retired in each of the last 2 quarters. Further details on Army/Police movements.

The 3 tables below are related. (Table A = Table B + Table C. ) They summarize the types of quarterly changes in electoral rolls of 2007q4 and 2008q1:

  1. All voters (army, police, civilians),
  2. Army and police postal voter changes, and
  3. Civilian changes, excluding army and police.
Our observations based on these 3 tables:
  • New voters mostly civilians: In 2007q4, eg, new registrations were 55% of all changes. These are mostly civilian new registrations, since new registrations by Police/Army voters only accounted for 1.3% of all voter changes. Similar pattern occurred in 2008q1 -- there were very few new Army/Police voters.

  • What the Army/Police voters excel at is moving around before the GE. While civilian voters who moved addresses accounted for 13.2% and 13.6% -- quite evenly distributed over the 2 quarters -- of 2007q4 and 2008q1 respectively, the Army/Police were particularly active before the GE. Army/Police voters who were repositioned accounted for 5.8% of all voter changes in 2007q4 just in time for GE2008, but only 0.4% during 2008q1 when it was too late for GE2008.

  • Recent campaign to strike off dead voters? SPR deleted 16,651 and 18,548 dead voters, or 5.8% and a significant 14.1% of voter changes, respectively during 2007q4 and 2008q1. These are mostly civilian voters. Judging from the significant percentage of 14.1% of a relatively "more normal" quarter of 2008q1, it looks like this is a recent campaign and determination by the SPR to clean up the Dead Voters Society after persistent protests by election watch groups.
Data background: See earlier blog for a basic understanding about Supplementary Voter Lists 2008q1 and 2007q4. For overview, also see the last post Large Army and Police "Movements" Just Before GE2008.

A. ALL VOTERS INCL. ARMY/POLICE VOTERS




Types of voter changes
2008q1 % all
voters
2007q4 % all
voters
Pendaftaran Baru 11 75,484 57.5% 159,123 55.0%
Pendaftaran Tukar Alamat 12 18,385 14.0% 54,920 19.0%
Subtotal - Addition
93,869 71.5% 214,043 74.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pengenalan Diri Tidak Lengkap 31 - 0.0% 3 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pemilih Bertukar Alamat 32 18,385 14.0% 54,920 19.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Kematian 33 18,548 14.1% 16,651 5.8%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Hilang Kelayakan Sebagai
Pengundi Pos
34 2 0.0% 671 0.2%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Dilucutkan Kewarganegaraan 35 - 0.0% 992 0.3%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Bersara Polis/ Tentera 36 1 0.0% 1,261 0.4%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Masuk Tentera 37 8 0.0% 7 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Silap Pendataan 38 357 0.3% 5 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Masuk Polis 39 1 0.0% 121 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pergi Ke Luar Negeri 40 54 0.0% 63 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pulang Dari Luar Negeri 41 7 0.0% 4 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Tentera Di Ragui 42 - 0.0% 362 0.1%
Others 99 - 0.0% - 0.0%
Subtotal - Deletion
37,363 28.5% 75,060 26.0%
Total - ALL VOTERS
131,232 100.0% 289,103 100.0%






B. ARMY/POLICE VOTERS




Types of voter changes
2008q1 % all
voters
2007q4 % all
voters
Pendaftaran Baru 11 814 0.6% 3,710 1.3%
Pendaftaran Tukar Alamat 12 528 0.4% 16,743 5.8%
Subtotal - Addition
1,342 1.0% 20,453 7.1%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pengenalan Diri Tidak Lengkap 31 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pemilih Bertukar Alamat 32 578 0.4% 16,806 5.8%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Kematian 33 9 0.0% 7 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Hilang Kelayakan Sebagai
Pengundi Pos
34 2 0.0% 668 0.2%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Dilucutkan Kewarganegaraan 35 0 0.0% 2 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Bersara Polis/ Tentera 36 1 0.0% 1,261 0.4%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Masuk Tentera 37 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Silap Pendataan 38 355 0.3% 1 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Masuk Polis 39 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pergi Ke Luar Negeri 40 0 0.0% 8 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pulang Dari Luar Negeri 41 7 0.0% 4 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Tentera Di Ragui 42 0 0.0% 362 0.1%
Others 99 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Subtotal - Deletion
952 0.7% 19,119 6.6%
Total - ARMY/POLICE VOTERS
2,294 1.7% 39,572 13.7%






C. EXCLUDING ARMY/POLICE VOTERS




Types of voter changes
2008q1 % all
voters
2007q4 % all
voters
Pendaftaran Baru 11 74,670 56.9% 155,413 53.8%
Pendaftaran Tukar Alamat 12 17,857 13.6% 38,177 13.2%
Subtotal - Addition
92,527 70.5% 193,590 67.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pengenalan Diri Tidak Lengkap 31 - 0.0% 3 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pemilih Bertukar Alamat 32 17,807 13.6% 38,114 13.2%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Kematian 33 18,539 14.1% 16,644 5.8%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Hilang Kelayakan Sebagai
Pengundi Pos
34 - 0.0% 3 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Dilucutkan Kewarganegaraan 35 - 0.0% 990 0.3%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Bersara Polis/ Tentera 36 - 0.0% - 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Masuk Tentera 37 8 0.0% 7 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Silap Pendataan 38 2 0.0% 4 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Masuk Polis 39 1 0.0% 121 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pergi Ke Luar Negeri 40 54 0.0% 55 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Pulang Dari Luar Negeri 41 - 0.0% - 0.0%
Penandaan Pemotongan - Tentera Di Ragui 42 - 0.0% - 0.0%
Others 99 - 0.0% - 0.0%
Subtotal - Deletion
36,411 27.7% 55,941 19.3%
Total - NON-ARMY/POLICE VOTERS
128,938 98.3% 249,531 86.3%
Source: SPR and MALVU analysis.
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1 comment:

Kah Seng said...

SPR revealed how it conducted its "dead voter deletion overdrive." [Emphasis added.]

Master Electoral Roll Free Of Dead Voters
http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v3/news.php?id=317270

PUTRAJAYA, Feb 28 (Bernama) -- The Master Electoral Roll to be used for the general election is free of the names of voters who had died.

The roll containing the names of 10,922,139 voters who died up to Dec 31 last year was gazetted on Feb 5.

Election Commission (EC) secretary Datuk Kamaruzaman Mohd Noor said it had removed the names of 697,902 voters who died between Jan 1, 2004 and Dec 31 last year.

He said the commission was mindful that there were registered voters who died between Jan 1 and March 7 this year.

"The general election laws do not allow EC to remove the names of the deceased from the Master Electoral Roll. Their names will be exhibited in April for public viewing," he said when commenting on the confusion among Opposition parties.

"Political parties and independent candidates need not worry as claims that some people will be voting in place of dead registered voters are baseless."

The EC would be distributing the list of voters who died between Jan 1 and March 7 and their identity card numbers to all polling centre heads, he said.

"This will enable them to be aware of voters who had died to prevent the issuance of ballot papers in their names.

"They have also been directed to get police help to nab those who turn up to vote using the identity cards of dead voters.

"The offenders will be arrested under the Criminal Procedure Code and the offence is punishable under Section 7 of the Election Offences Act 1954.

"Those who disguise as voters can be jailed for up to two years and fined a minimum of RM1,000 or up to RM5,000."

In an effort to clean the electoral list of names of dead voters, the EC had despatched teams to police stations nationwide to get copies of the burial permits.

Last year, it succeeded in removing 10,064 names of dead voters from the electoral roll and informed their next of kin to produce copies of the death certificates."

Kamaruzaman said a team was also sent to 2,764 longhouses in Sarawak between January 2006 and October last year, and 12,807 dead voters were traced and reported to the National Registration Department.

After consulting the longhouse heads and supported by the district officers, the 12,807 names were later removed from the electoral roll.


-- BERNAMA