2009-05-17

Penanti centenerians already cleaned out in August 2008

We analyze voter age groups and changes. The largest voter age group in Penanti is the 40-49 year-old group. SPR had deleted all 100+ year-old voters just before the August 2008 Permatang Pauh by-election.

Apparently to avoid embarrassment during the August 2008 Permatang Pauh by-election, SPR had deleted all 100-year-old voters in a cleaning overdrive by 2008 Jul 31. See our report here: Permatang Pauh Lost 25 Centenarians. Did SPR follow proper procedure?

We are able to make two pairs of comparison because we have three sets of voter data for Penanti:

  1. 2008 Feb 05-gazetted data for GE12,
  2. 2008 Jul 31 data under Permatang Pauh by-election, and
  3. 2009 Apr 16 data under the current Penanti by-election.
Table A compares Sets 1 and 2, while Table B compares sets 2 and 3.

Tables A and B show that:
  • The largest age group for voters in Penanti are 40-49 year-olds,
  • The second largest group are 30-39 year-olds.
  • The SPR deleted voters aged 100 and older, across the board, before 2008 Jul 31 data (in Table A),
  • Since then, SPR has no need to delete any centenerians (inTable B),
  • Table A's net decrease in voters, despite 6 months of newly-registered voters, indicated SPR was aggressively deleting voters by 2008 Jul 31, probably to avoid embarrassing anomalies before the high-profile Permatang Pauh by-election.
  • Net voter increased only by 4 between the Permatang Pau and Penanti by-elections (in Table B).
Table A: P044 N12 Penanti 20090416 By-Election Roll Voters by Age Groups
Comparing 20080205 data with 20080731



GE12By-Election


GE12By-Election
AgeTahunlahirTahunlahirGazettedDate Date



PercentagePercentage
GroupFromTo2008020520080731ChangeChange %
2008073120080731
21-2919791987 1,789 1,845 563.0%
11.6%12.0%
30-3919691978 3,587 3,610 230.6%
23.3%23.5%
40-4919591968 4,096 4,086 (10)-0.2%
26.6%26.6%
50-5919491958 2,912 2,900 (12)-0.4%
18.9%18.9%
60-6919391948 1,753 1,726 (27)-1.6%
11.4%11.2%
70-7919291938 958 923 (35)-3.8%
6.2%6.0%
80-8919191928 275 253 (22)-8.7%
1.8%1.6%
90-9919091918 40 37 (3)-8.1%
0.3%0.2%
100+18841908 11 - (11)#DIV/0!
0.1%0.0%
Total

15,421 15,380 (41)-0.3%
100.0%100.0%


Table B: P044 N12 Penanti 20090416 By-Election Roll Voters by Age Groups
Comparing 20080731 data with 20090416



By-ElectionBy-Election


By-ElectionBy-Election
AgeTahunlahirTahunlahirData Date
Date Date



PercentagePercentage
GroupFromTo2008073120090416ChangeChange %
2008073120090416
21-2919791987 1,845 1,943 985.0%
12.0%12.6%
30-3919691978 3,610 3,623 130.4%
23.4%23.6%
40-4919591968 4,086 4,083 (3)-0.1%
26.5%26.5%
50-5919491958 2,900 2,883 (17)-0.6%
18.8%18.7%
60-6919391948 1,726 1,696 (30)-1.8%
11.2%11.0%
70-7919291938 923 891 (32)-3.6%
6.0%5.8%
80-8919191928 253 234 (19)-8.1%
1.6%1.5%
90-9919091918 37 31 (6)-19.4%
0.2%0.2%
100+18841908 - - - #DIV/0!
0.0%0.0%
Total

15,380 15,384 40.0%
99.7%100.0%

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